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Red45
260127.0
691120.7
77304.5
Blue64
314216.7
139129.5
108921.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60790501001504564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#25
27.01.5
29.427.9
Auto12.0
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 2.5
1391
#20
29.50.8
29.929.0
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End1.8
Second
6911
#16
20.71.5
22.120.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 0.9
1089
#18
21.60.8
22.621.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.2
End2.0
Third
7730
#22
4.51.5
5.44.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 12.2
16.70.8
17.216.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed