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Red53
28719.2
3698.7
412223.0
Blue65
16725.3
5618.0
69428.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585902040801001201405365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#10
23.00.0
23.623.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
blue by 5.4
694
#2
28.40.1
27.828.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Second
287
#14
19.20.0
20.320.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End1.3
red by 1.1
56
#30
18.00.1
18.919.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Third
369
#34
8.70.0
8.48.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
red by 3.4
1672
#26
5.30.1
6.26.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed