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Red53
108921.6
25546.1
28719.2
Blue77
253935.4
10216.1
412223.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47920204060801001201401605377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#18
21.60.2
21.721.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.2
End2.0
blue by 13.8
35.40.4
37.837.4
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Second
287
#14
19.20.2
20.320.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 3.8
4122
#10
23.00.4
23.723.3
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
2554
#32
6.10.2
5.96.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 10.0
102
#9
16.10.4
16.716.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsMissed