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Red32
201616.7
249519.7
87140.4
Blue99
167634.3
139129.5
179645.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271380501001502003299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#24
19.70.7
19.018.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 25.8
45.50.9
47.046.1
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End4.9
Second
2016
#28
16.70.7
17.416.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.0
End2.3
blue by 17.6
34.30.9
36.235.3
Auto12.7
Teleop17.0
End4.6
Third
8714
#35
0.40.7
1.10.4
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.7
End1.2
blue by 29.1
1391
#20
29.50.9
29.028.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsMissed