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Red79
25546.1
69428.4
589537.7
Blue41
77304.5
436111.1
180736.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85720501001502007941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.3
41.241.5
Auto16.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 0.9
1807
#11
36.71.7
42.240.5
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End2.4
Second
694
#2
28.40.3
25.926.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End2.8
red by 17.3
4361
#23
11.11.7
15.714.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Third
2554
#32
6.10.3
7.88.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 1.6
7730
#22
4.51.7
8.97.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed