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Red29
691120.7
249519.7
162613.1
Blue37
363715.0
543815.4
28719.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73660501001502002503002937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#16
20.72.4
25.122.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
red by 1.5
287
#14
19.21.9
21.319.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
2495
#24
19.72.4
24.021.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 4.3
5438
#17
15.41.9
17.415.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Third
1626
#13
13.12.4
16.413.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 1.8
3637
#21
15.01.9
21.619.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed