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Red40
999815.6
4332.2
457511.9
Blue57
69432.2
31629.2
115521.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141120501001502004057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#17
15.60.9
9.310.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 16.6
694
#8
32.22.2
32.830.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End4.5
Second
4575
#20
11.90.5
14.515.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 17.4
316
#7
29.22.2
31.229.1
Auto11.1
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Third
433
#26
2.20.5
3.94.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.0
End0.5
blue by 19.6
1155
#15
21.72.2
25.323.1
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed