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Red3
417.9
434221.7
741415.2
Blue50
54571.7
55521.4
704513.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7247020406080100120140350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#24
21.73.9
27.423.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End1.7
red by 0.4
555
#12
21.40.3
25.525.9
Auto9.9
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
7414
#18
15.23.9
21.317.3
Auto7.9
Teleop6.9
End0.4
red by 1.8
7045
#25
13.40.3
15.716.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Third
41
#21Sur
7.93.9
13.39.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
red by 6.1
5457
#13Sur
1.70.3
3.94.3
Auto2.6
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed