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Red70
164025.4
34131.8
540119.8
Blue31
87141.4
121825.5
36913.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97380501507031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
31.80.7
32.231.5
Auto8.3
Teleop21.1
End2.4
red by 6.3
25.50.7
28.527.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End4.2
Second
25.40.7
24.824.1
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End2.0
red by 12.2
369
#10
13.20.7
10.69.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End0.2
Third
5401
#16
19.80.7
23.222.5
Auto12.0
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 18.4
8714
#22
1.40.7
1.91.2
Auto3.1
Teleop-3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed