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Red64
48416.0
99998.4
36913.2
Blue41
434221.7
457511.9
22653.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314901001502002506441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#2
16.01.6
12.414.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.7
End2.7
blue by 5.7
4342
#24
21.70.4
23.423.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Second
369
#10
13.21.6
8.510.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End0.2
red by 1.4
4575
#20
11.90.4
15.114.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
9999
#11
8.42.7
8.511.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
red by 5.0
2265
#23
3.40.4
4.03.5
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed