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Red56
115521.7
87141.4
253942.6
Blue92
34131.8
260726.9
999815.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7371506080905692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.6
41.741.1
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End5.5
red by 10.8
341
#3
31.81.6
30.532.1
Auto8.3
Teleop21.1
End2.4
Second
1155
#15
21.70.6
22.021.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
blue by 5.2
2607
#14
26.91.6
28.430.1
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Third
8714
#22
1.40.6
1.81.1
Auto3.1
Teleop-3.1
End1.5
blue by 14.2
9998
#17
15.62.7
8.411.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed