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Red30
54387.6
22319.4
19310.4
Blue43
7527.9
1118.1
7514.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393502060801003043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#9
19.40.5
14.413.9
Auto9.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
red by 1.3
11
#3
18.10.4
13.913.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
193
#16
10.40.5
11.611.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 4.5
75
#14
14.90.4
9.38.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Third
5438
#28
7.60.5
8.68.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
blue by 0.2
752
#24
7.90.4
8.88.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned