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Red58
121819.2
181116.8
127917.1
Blue20
33405.0
87047.3
25778.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462901020406070805820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#17
19.21.8
16.117.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 10.4
2577
#34
8.80.9
11.710.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Second
1279
#12
17.11.8
13.515.3
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 9.8
8704
#26
7.30.9
10.09.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Third
1811
#13
16.81.8
10.212.0
Auto8.1
Teleop6.5
End2.3
red by 11.8
3340
#21
5.00.9
6.35.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed