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Red13
53106.4
42810.4
69456.0
Blue40
21919.9
167213.2
601613.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30320102040501340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
428
#15
10.41.6
7.66.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.8
blue by 9.5
219
#7
19.91.3
7.79.0
Auto11.6
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Second
5310
#23
6.41.6
8.77.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 6.8
1672
#11
13.21.3
11.512.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
6945
#29
6.01.6
10.99.3
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
blue by 7.1
6016
#27
13.11.3
9.210.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed