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Red27
167625.1
811712.4
911610.7
Blue39
314218.1
877110.2
851321.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443820304050602739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.3
17.115.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 4.1
21.10.2
12.713.0
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
Second
12.41.3
10.89.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.2
blue by 5.7
18.10.2
15.315.5
Auto2.0
Teleop13.5
End2.6
Third
9116
#30
10.71.3
10.99.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
red by 0.5
8771
#18
10.20.2
6.87.0
Auto1.1
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed