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Red38
22319.4
601613.1
127917.1
Blue58
21919.9
19310.4
811712.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060803858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#9
19.40.2
13.913.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 0.6
219
#7
19.92.0
9.011.1
Auto11.6
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Second
1279
#12
17.10.2
15.315.1
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 4.7
12.42.0
9.511.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.2
Third
6016
#27
13.10.2
10.510.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.1
red by 2.7
193
#16
10.42.0
11.113.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed