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Red29
4111.0
851321.1
911610.7
Blue34
33405.0
121819.2
5614.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3739203050602934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.6
13.012.3
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
red by 1.9
1218
#17
19.20.0
17.917.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Second
41
#25
11.00.6
12.011.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.2
blue by 3.4
56
#10
14.40.0
10.710.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Third
9116
#30
10.70.6
9.69.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
red by 5.7
3340
#21
5.00.0
5.45.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed