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Red41
94394.9
436116.8
7514.9
Blue62
87047.3
21919.9
851321.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3239010205060704162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.1
12.812.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 4.3
21.11.9
14.015.9
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
Second
75
#14
14.90.1
12.111.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 5.1
219
#7
19.91.9
12.814.7
Auto11.6
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Third
9439
#33
4.90.1
5.25.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 2.4
8704
#26
7.31.9
8.110.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed