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Red49
42810.4
94244.9
19310.4
Blue0
7527.9
85885.2
25778.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212801040506070490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
428
#15
10.41.6
7.08.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.8
red by 1.6
2577
#34
8.82.7
9.97.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Second
193
#16
10.41.6
10.612.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3
red by 2.5
752
#24
7.92.7
7.85.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
9424
#32
4.91.6
2.03.6
Auto0.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
blue by 0.3
8588
#31
5.22.7
6.43.7
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed