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Red58
851321.1
5614.4
1118.1
Blue33
19310.4
167213.2
127917.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51442030406070805833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.2
16.317.4
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
red by 4.0
1279
#12
17.10.9
15.114.2
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Second
11
#3
18.11.2
16.617.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 4.9
1672
#11
13.20.9
13.913.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
56
#10
14.41.2
12.813.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
red by 4.0
193
#16
10.40.9
11.810.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed