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Red41
21919.9
121819.2
56247.1
Blue54
33405.0
22220.8
181116.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49422030607080904154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#7
19.90.3
17.517.2
Auto11.6
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 0.8
222
#2
20.80.5
19.319.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End1.4
Second
1218
#17
19.20.3
17.417.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 2.3
1811
#13
16.80.5
15.015.5
Auto8.1
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Third
5624
#22
7.10.3
8.88.6
Auto0.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 2.1
3340
#21
5.00.5
4.24.8
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned