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Red32
167213.2
7514.9
94244.9
Blue41
121819.2
911610.7
53106.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3337010205060703241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#14
14.90.1
13.713.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 4.3
1218
#17
19.20.7
17.117.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Second
1672
#11
13.20.1
13.013.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End2.6
red by 2.5
9116
#30
10.70.7
9.29.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Third
9424
#32
4.90.1
3.94.0
Auto0.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
blue by 1.5
5310
#23
6.40.7
6.87.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed