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Red56
5614.4
22220.8
21919.9
Blue68
181116.8
167625.1
80755.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58472040801005668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
20.80.0
19.819.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End1.4
blue by 4.3
25.10.8
22.723.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Second
219
#7
19.90.0
17.217.2
Auto11.6
Teleop7.5
End0.9
red by 3.1
1811
#13
16.80.8
15.516.3
Auto8.1
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Third
56
#10
14.40.0
13.913.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
red by 9.2
8075
#19
5.20.8
5.36.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed