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Red41
69456.0
56247.1
811712.4
Blue23
911610.7
25778.8
80755.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282601020405060704123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.40.4
11.812.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.2
red by 1.7
9116
#30
10.70.1
9.99.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Second
5624
#22
7.10.4
8.08.4
Auto0.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 1.7
2577
#34
8.80.1
8.07.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Third
6945
#29
6.00.4
5.76.2
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
red by 0.8
8075
#19
5.20.1
6.16.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed