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Red45
53106.4
314218.1
22220.8
Blue59
127917.1
851321.1
42810.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50452030406070804559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
20.80.1
19.819.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End1.4
blue by 0.3
21.11.4
17.719.2
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
Second
18.10.1
17.017.1
Auto2.0
Teleop13.5
End2.6
red by 1.0
1279
#12
17.11.4
13.414.9
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Third
5310
#23
6.40.1
7.57.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 4.0
428
#15
10.41.4
10.411.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned