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Red58
85885.2
7514.9
121819.2
Blue28
5614.4
54387.6
573210.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433301020506070805828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#17
19.20.4
17.818.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 4.8
56
#10
14.40.2
13.913.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
75
#14
14.90.4
13.814.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 4.3
5732
#20
10.60.2
9.79.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Third
8588
#31
5.20.4
6.06.5
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 2.5
5438
#28
7.60.2
7.16.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed