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Red34
71417.0
3032.6
81179.8
Blue46
40125.6
127917.6
68979.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3031102040503446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
714
#16
17.00.4
16.717.1
Auto8.0
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 0.6
17.60.6
13.714.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Second
8117
#19
9.80.4
9.19.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.7
red by 0.7
6897
#13
9.10.6
8.49.0
Auto6.6
Teleop2.5
End-0.1
Third
303
#24
2.60.4
2.42.8
Auto0.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 3.1
4012
#10
5.60.6
4.85.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed