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Red43
863010.4
87142.8
55516.4
Blue25
314219.6
85882.9
901517.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26470204060801004325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#17
16.41.1
15.316.4
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 3.2
19.61.0
20.719.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Second
10.41.1
9.310.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End0.1
blue by 7.3
9015
#15
17.71.0
16.815.8
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.1
Third
8714
#18
2.81.1
1.72.8
Auto3.3
Teleop-2.1
End1.6
Level
8588
#23
2.91.0
2.81.8
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed