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Red41
68979.1
704515.4
87142.8
Blue37
46539.9
25777.4
127917.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224704060801001204137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#12
15.41.1
13.414.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 2.2
17.60.8
15.314.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Second
6897
#13
9.11.1
7.88.9
Auto6.6
Teleop2.5
End-0.1
blue by 0.8
9.90.8
15.214.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
8714
#18
2.81.1
1.42.5
Auto3.3
Teleop-2.1
End1.6
blue by 4.5
7.40.8
8.88.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned