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Red20
55516.4
2513.5
81179.8
Blue40
863010.4
901517.7
363721.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51700204060801001201402040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#17
16.41.9
21.419.5
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 5.3
21.61.4
29.828.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
25
#22
13.51.9
14.913.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 4.3
9015
#15
17.71.4
19.017.6
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.1
Third
8117
#19
9.81.9
12.010.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.7
blue by 0.7
10.41.4
12.110.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed