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Red72
599216.5
911615.5
436119.1
Blue43
54576.0
180730.9
35157.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44433540505560657243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#18
19.11.5
16.618.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 11.7
30.90.3
24.925.1
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Second
5992
#10
16.52.4
12.715.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.6
red by 9.1
3515
#35
7.40.3
9.39.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Third
9116
#17
15.51.5
10.612.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End1.7
red by 9.5
5457
#27
6.00.3
5.05.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed