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Red43
53105.5
711016.3
108923.6
Blue32
543815.2
70817.3
10215.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943253035455055604332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.1
18.318.4
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 6.3
708
#11
17.30.4
14.914.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Second
7110
#16
16.30.1
10.110.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.1
red by 0.9
102
#30
15.30.7
14.113.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
5310
#22
5.50.1
7.77.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 9.8
5438
#21
15.20.4
9.59.1
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed