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Red9
54906.7
68606.4
87145.9
Blue81
22324.0
192330.3
94244.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196404080100981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5490
#33
6.71.8
9.27.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 23.6
1923
#12
30.30.5
30.330.9
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End1.7
Second
6860
#23
6.41.1
5.94.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 17.6
223
#8
24.00.5
17.918.4
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End1.6
Third
8714
#36
5.91.8
7.76.0
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End1.8
red by 1.2
9424
#31
4.70.5
4.75.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed