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Red35
47508.4
140326.7
75876.9
Blue41
22224.3
12579.3
704517.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425102060803541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.3
21.421.1
Auto9.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
red by 2.5
222
#2
24.30.3
22.822.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Second
4750
#24
8.40.4
8.27.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 9.0
17.30.4
15.715.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
7587
#34
6.90.4
9.48.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 2.4
1257
#19
9.30.3
6.36.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed