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Red70
53105.5
331426.0
851327.6
Blue42
167629.9
10215.3
54906.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62502040801001207042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.1
25.024.9
Auto10.2
Teleop12.0
End5.5
blue by 2.3
1676
#14
29.90.3
28.528.1
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
26.00.1
22.922.8
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 10.7
102
#30
15.30.6
11.410.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
5310
#22
5.50.1
7.27.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 1.2
5490
#33
6.70.6
7.26.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed