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Red7
80755.3
704517.3
47508.4
Blue77
22224.3
543815.2
219116.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27610204080100777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.32.4
16.313.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
blue by 6.9
222
#2
24.31.1
22.924.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Second
4750
#24
8.42.4
7.95.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 7.8
2191
#13
16.21.1
16.918.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Third
8075
#32
5.31.5
4.53.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
blue by 10.0
5438
#21
15.21.1
11.012.1
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned