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Red13
108923.6
94244.7
81307.3
Blue21
4336.9
599216.5
68606.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801001321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.3
20.919.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 7.1
5992
#10
16.50.9
14.113.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Second
8130
#29
7.31.3
7.35.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
red by 0.4
433
#25
6.90.5
7.16.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Third
9424
#31
4.71.3
4.63.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 1.6
6860
#23
6.40.5
6.15.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed