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Red49
68977.8
192330.3
711016.3
Blue55
259028.0
35157.4
140326.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566202040801001204955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
30.30.8
30.729.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End1.7
red by 2.3
28.00.0
26.026.0
Auto10.6
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Second
7110
#16
16.30.8
11.710.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 10.5
26.70.0
20.620.6
Auto9.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Third
6897
#26
7.80.8
9.18.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End0.4
red by 0.4
3515
#35
7.40.0
9.09.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed