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Red63
87145.9
436119.1
70817.3
Blue50
12579.3
167629.9
75876.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4445253035405055606350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#18
19.10.4
18.919.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 10.8
1676
#14
29.90.3
28.128.5
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
708
#11
17.30.4
14.715.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End1.7
red by 8.0
1257
#19
9.30.3
6.06.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Third
8714
#36
5.90.7
6.26.9
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 1.0
7587
#34
6.90.5
6.26.8
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed