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Red80
192330.3
47508.4
108923.6
Blue34
80755.3
219116.2
711016.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65310204060801008034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
30.31.0
29.830.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End1.7
red by 14.0
7110
#16
16.30.1
10.811.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
23.61.0
19.620.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 7.5
2191
#13
16.20.1
18.018.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Third
4750
#24
8.41.6
5.57.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 3.1
8075
#32
5.30.1
3.13.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed