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Red40
704517.3
911615.5
68977.8
Blue10
94244.7
53105.5
4336.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42150102030506070804010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.5
13.914.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 10.5
433
#25
6.90.6
6.55.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Second
9116
#17
15.50.4
12.613.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End1.7
red by 10.0
5310
#22
5.50.6
7.16.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End0.6
Third
6897
#26
7.80.4
8.28.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End0.4
red by 3.0
9424
#31
4.70.6
3.32.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed