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Red32
22224.3
54576.0
599216.5
Blue79
363717.9
851327.6
140326.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457302060801001203279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
24.30.8
24.023.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 3.4
27.60.2
25.425.2
Auto10.2
Teleop12.0
End5.5
Second
5992
#10
16.51.3
13.211.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 10.2
26.70.2
20.620.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Third
5457
#27
6.00.8
7.36.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 11.9
3637
#15
17.90.2
16.716.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned