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Red45
114310.9
35157.4
331426.0
Blue59
81307.3
167629.9
70817.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057020801004559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.3
22.522.8
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 3.9
1676
#14
29.90.6
28.529.1
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
1143
#28
10.90.3
7.07.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
blue by 6.5
708
#11
17.30.6
15.115.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Third
3515
#35
7.40.3
9.09.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.6
red by 0.1
8130
#29
7.30.6
5.96.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed