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Red56
180730.9
75876.9
87145.9
Blue51
54906.7
543815.2
29321.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46432030405060705651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.2
27.527.7
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End1.7
red by 9.6
293
#20
21.30.0
21.721.7
Auto11.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.1
Second
7587
#34
6.90.3
6.87.1
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 8.3
5438
#21
15.20.0
12.112.1
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Third
8714
#36
5.90.3
6.97.2
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 0.8
5490
#33
6.70.1
5.75.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed