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Red79
22324.0
53105.5
436119.1
Blue20
219116.2
54576.0
68977.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55340204060801007920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#8
24.00.4
20.621.0
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End1.6
red by 7.8
2191
#13
16.20.9
18.117.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Second
4361
#18
19.10.4
20.320.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 11.4
6897
#26
7.80.9
8.67.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Third
5310
#22
5.50.4
6.56.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 0.5
5457
#27
6.00.9
6.55.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed