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Red79
81307.3
259028.0
192330.3
Blue52
70817.3
851327.6
114310.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7350204060801001207952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
30.30.9
30.831.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End1.7
red by 2.6
27.60.3
25.225.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.0
End5.5
Second
28.00.9
26.127.0
Auto10.6
Teleop14.3
End3.0
red by 10.7
708
#11
17.30.3
15.816.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Third
8130
#29
7.30.9
6.67.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 3.6
1143
#28
10.90.3
7.37.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsMissed