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Red31
29321.3
35157.4
704517.3
Blue65
22224.3
68606.4
331426.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50602040801003165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#20
21.31.1
21.420.3
Auto11.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.1
blue by 4.8
26.00.8
24.024.8
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Second
17.31.4
16.214.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
blue by 6.9
222
#2
24.30.8
23.023.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Third
3515
#35
7.41.1
9.28.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.6
red by 1.0
6860
#23
6.40.8
6.37.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned