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Red70
54906.7
140326.7
108923.6
Blue64
851327.6
87145.9
167629.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4972204060801001207064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.5
21.823.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
blue by 3.2
1676
#14
29.90.3
30.330.1
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
23.61.5
20.321.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 4.0
27.60.3
25.425.2
Auto10.2
Teleop12.0
End5.5
Third
5490
#33
6.72.0
5.27.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 0.8
8714
#36
5.90.3
7.06.7
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned