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Red62
543815.2
259028.0
80755.3
Blue69
180730.9
94244.7
599216.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4551204060806269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.7
27.027.7
Auto10.6
Teleop14.3
End3.0
blue by 2.9
30.91.6
27.629.2
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Second
5438
#21
15.20.7
12.012.8
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 1.3
5992
#10
16.52.1
14.116.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Third
8075
#32
5.30.7
2.73.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
red by 0.5
9424
#31
4.71.6
3.65.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed