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Red71
70817.3
22324.0
47508.4
Blue43
711016.3
911615.5
54576.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51320204060807143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#8
24.01.8
21.122.9
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End1.6
red by 7.7
7110
#16
16.30.3
13.013.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
708
#11
17.31.8
15.617.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End1.7
red by 1.9
9116
#17
15.50.3
12.512.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
4750
#24
8.42.2
7.19.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 2.4
5457
#27
6.00.3
5.66.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed